Avista Corporation Stock Forecast

Avista Corporation stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on May 02, 2024)

AVA Signals & Forecast

The Avista Corporation stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $36.01 and $34.65. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 11.11%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, March 05, 2024 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Thursday, April 18, 2024.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Avista Corporation stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $34.33 and $33.94. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Avista Corporation finds support just below today's level at $34.33. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $33.94 and $33.71.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.540 between high and low, or 1.49%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.41%.

The Avista Corporation stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (78). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the stock has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.

Our recommended stop-loss: $35.63 (-3.16%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 78 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 12 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (AVA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 3rd we expect Avista Corporation to open at $36.64, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $36.01 and $37.57, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.783 (+/-2.13%) up or down from last closing price. If Avista Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.26% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $34.33, some $2.46 (6.69%) from the current price of $36.79, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is Avista Corporation stock A Buy?

Avista Corporation holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Opening Price for Avista Corporation of Friday, May 3, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.